Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.000166 0.000183 0.000202 0.000224 0.000248 0.000275 0.000306
2025-09-14 0.000135 0.000161 0.000191 0.000229 0.000275 0.000330 0.000401
2025-09-21 0.000113 0.000142 0.000177 0.000225 0.000287 0.000366 0.000475
2025-09-28 0.000095 0.000125 0.000163 0.000216 0.000290 0.000388 0.000532
2025-10-05 0.000086 0.000117 0.000159 0.000219 0.000306 0.000429 0.000619
2025-10-12 0.000080 0.000112 0.000157 0.000225 0.000326 0.000477 0.000720
2025-10-19 0.000072 0.000104 0.000150 0.000221 0.000333 0.000504 0.000792
2025-10-26 0.000067 0.000100 0.000147 0.000224 0.000348 0.000546 0.000894
2025-11-02 0.000062 0.000094 0.000142 0.000222 0.000355 0.000574 0.000975
2025-11-09 0.000058 0.000089 0.000138 0.000221 0.000365 0.000608 0.001071
2025-11-16 0.000054 0.000084 0.000133 0.000219 0.000370 0.000635 0.001157
2025-11-23 0.000049 0.000078 0.000126 0.000212 0.000367 0.000646 0.001215
2025-11-30 0.000046 0.000075 0.000124 0.000213 0.000378 0.000687 0.001337
2025-12-07 0.000044 0.000073 0.000123 0.000217 0.000397 0.000743 0.001503
2025-12-14 0.000041 0.000069 0.000118 0.000213 0.000399 0.000768 0.001607
2025-12-21 0.000037 0.000064 0.000111 0.000205 0.000392 0.000775 0.001670
2025-12-28 0.000036 0.000062 0.000110 0.000207 0.000408 0.000828 0.001849
2026-01-04 0.000034 0.000061 0.000111 0.000212 0.000429 0.000896 0.002073
2026-01-11 0.000032 0.000058 0.000107 0.000209 0.000432 0.000925 0.002206
2026-01-18 0.000031 0.000057 0.000106 0.000212 0.000447 0.000984 0.002428
2026-01-25 0.000029 0.000055 0.000103 0.000210 0.000452 0.001018 0.002587
2026-02-01 0.000028 0.000053 0.000101 0.000209 0.000461 0.001064 0.002789
2026-02-08 0.000026 0.000051 0.000099 0.000207 0.000464 0.001097 0.002960